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Is Joe Biden Underestimated Now?



But one of the unproven storylines of the 2020 campaign today is that, despite generally accepted defeatist views, the support of the former vice president has and continues to demonstrate amazing stability. This is especially true with respect to Biden's support among African Americans, a critical electoral bloc in the Democratic presidential election.

Two polls released Monday from South Carolina tell the story. In a Quinnipiac University poll, Biden was 33% off with Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts distant second at 13%. A survey conducted at the University of North Florida showed almost the same thing – Biden was 36%, while Warren and Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont were 10% behind each.

Among black voters in the Quinnipiac poll, Biden took 44% to 10% for Sanders and only 8% for Warren. (South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigig received less than 1% of the black vote in South Carolina in a new poll, Q. Ouch.)

In a UNF survey, Dr. Michael Binder, director of the Department of Public Opinion Research Laboratory, said: “Thanks to his support among African American voters, Biden is superior to other rivals in South Carolina.”
Biden's unchanging strength in South Carolina and with black voters is reflected in his improved results from the 2020 national poll. Biden was in danger of losing his edge over Warren in the 2020 national polls just a few weeks ago. Currently? According to a survey conducted by Real Clear Politics, it averages over 7 points for Warren.

To make it clear: Biden is still not where he wants to be in Iowa or New Hampshire. And his fundraising should be much better. But his constant strength in South Carolina – and the constant support of black voters even against the backdrop of online predictions about his imminent demise – suggest that Biden may have more strength than he currently believes.

MeaningA: Biden is not the freshest face in the race. He is not the most liberal. He is not the most eloquent. But he may well have the deepest support among a key bloc of voters who have identified the last two presidential candidates from the Democratic Party.


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