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Biden, Warren, Harris, Sanders lead the 2020 democratic race: NBC / WSJ poll

US Democratic 2020 Presidential Candidate and Former Vice President Joe Biden welcomes his supporters after his speech at the CUNY Alumni Center in New York on July 11, 2019.

Carlo Allegri | Reuters

According to the first NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll, Joe Biden leads the 2020 presidential race for democracy.

The former vice president enjoys the support of 26% of voters at the national level who plan to vote in the 2020 democratic elections, according to a poll released Thursday. Senator Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts, is down by 19%.

According to the survey, senators Kamala Harris, California, and Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Get 13% support. Mayor South Bend Pete Buttigig completes the top 5 contenders at 7%. Former member of the House of Representatives Beto O & Rourke and entrepreneur Andrew Young receive 2% support, and no other candidate in the field of about two dozen gains more than 1%.

The survey largely coincides with the results of recent surveys about candidates in the race for President Donald Trump next year. While Biden jumped to more significant leadership in early polls, polls suggest a tougher fight after the first debate about democracy last month, which led to an increase in the number of voters in the field.

Much can change before democratic voters start choosing their candidacy. The country's first Iowa congregation is approximately seven months old.

Only 12% of respondents in the NBC / WSJ survey said they definitely decided who they would support next year. In response to a question about the second choice of president, 14% of respondents chose Harris. It was followed by Warren by 13% and Sanders by 12%. Meanwhile, 10% of respondents chose Biden as their second choice, and 8% chose Buttigueg.

Harris and Warren get strong marks after the first debate.

The survey was conducted after the first debate on democracy in Miami, which, as it turned out, had a good effect on Harris and Warren. Nearly half – 47% – of the primary Democratic voters, who watched at least some of the debates or paid close attention to covering their news, said that Harris had impressed them the most. About a third said that Warren impressed them the most.

Harris, one of the three black candidates on the ground, created the most debated moment of the debate, when she focused on Biden's race record and his position on the school bus policy. She told a story about how she was brought to school at a newly integrated California school as a child.

According to a NBC / WSJ poll, the former vice president is steadily leading among the primary voters of African-American democracy. He is gaining 46% support, distantly lagging behind Harris by 17%. Among non-white primary voters, 33% support Biden, followed by Harris – 16%, Sanders – 15% and Warren – 14%.

Biden leads the way in primary voters who consider themselves moderate or conservative. Warren has an advantage over Sanders among liberal respondents.

Do voters want big or small changes?

One of the key questions that will determine primary democracy is whether voters want overhaul or gradual changes. For example, Sanders and Warren supported the Medicare for All system with one payer and an impressive write-off of student debts. Biden and others warned against Medicare for all or widespread debt relief, calling the plans too expensive.

More than half, or 54%, of the primary Democratic voters stated that they want a candidate who “offers broader policies that cost more and can be more difficult to pass to the law, but that can lead to serious changes” on such issues like health care, climate change. College availability and economic opportunity. Meanwhile, 41% responded that they prefer a candidate who “offers smaller-sized policies that are cheaper and can be easier passed to the law, but will bring fewer changes” on these issues.

Warren leads among respondents who want major changes with 29% support, and Sanders by 18%. Both candidates proposed drastic changes in the political and economic system, and Sanders first gained popularity as a candidate in 2016, promising a "political revolution." Meanwhile, the voters who want smaller settings, overwhelmingly chose Biden.

Among all registered voters, 44% support the health system with one payer, against 49% who oppose.

The survey also asked voters whether they support the candidate on the basis of ideology or their ability to refuse Trump for a second term in the White House. Among the Democratic primary voters, 51% said they want a candidate who approaches their views on issues. Meanwhile, 45% answered that they want a candidate with the best chance to defeat the president.

Of those who consider Trump’s beating the most important, 34% choose Biden, followed by Warren with 21% and Harris with 16%. Among respondents who say they prefer to negotiate issues, Biden and Warren are 18% related, and Harris gets 17% support.

The NBC / WSJ survey surveyed 800 registered voters from July 7 to July 9. More than half of the voters voted by mobile phone. The total error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Among the 400 surveyed primary Democratic voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

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