Published in December 31, 2018 |
December 31, 2018 from Paul foss
A brief general answer to the question in the title: "Yes." I bought my model 3 months ago and I really like it. You can read more about this in my author archive. But there are other issues that need to be taken into account, and people need to consider various factors. So read the nuance and some thoughts about Tesla.
It seems that every week we thought that Tesla’s model 3 cars would run out this week. But the company continued production and, apparently, a few weeks ago, it worked with unfulfilled orders. People who still have reservations are divided into 3 categories:
- They are waiting for a cheaper car ($ 35,000 car) or leasing, which will be offered on the current model 3.
- They are in that part of the world where you cannot get model 3. This is everywhere except in the USA and Canada.
- They changed their mind or it occurred to them that they could not buy a car right now.
Thus, although Tesla still receives several thousand new orders every week from new people who open up the Model 3, this is not enough to sell the automaker, even though the US federal tax credit has halved for Tesla buyers for 2 day focuses the mind of people.
Although I expected Tesla to sell off its stocks this week, it looks like availability has changed a bit compared to what I found last week. Local sales offices tell me that Tesla has a group of cars ready for ordering and delivery on the same day, as long as I can be somewhat flexible in the choice of options.
I checked with Tesla in Tampa, St. Louis and Denver. Cars are sold quickly, but not fast enough to be sold. I usually get 2 or 3 links from them for a friend, whom I help decide what to buy, and when I check links a couple of days later, they are usually dead (which I think the car means). Sales). When I call the dealer and request additional links, they find another 2 or 3 cars that meet the technical specifications that I request.
From this I can conclude that they have either a large inventory through which they work, or they can replenish stocks at least as quickly as they sell. After the tax credit is reduced on Tuesday, although I know that they will begin to distribute most of the production in Europe and China, they will not want US sales to fall too much, so I think this means that they will pull one or more “leverage”.
Back in October, we published an excellent article on how Tesla can increase the demand for its cars. Some of these levers have already been involved, for example, geographic expansion and a new middle class battery. Others, such as tax breaks, free charges over a long period of time, and free wall chargers, are possible, but will reduce gross profit while they remain profitable.
Many in the US would be happy to see that the Standard-Range battery comes out now (and they really kept the Mid-Range battery secret until it was released), but the website still says that the standard battery is 4 to 6 months. Please note that 4 months ago the site said it was 6 to 9 months, so I think it’s unlikely that they will open orders for a standard-range battery this week. In addition, it has only been a month since Elon Musk sent out an email to all employees, informing them that it would cost $ 38,000 to build a $ 35,000 car and asked these employees to help find ways to reduce the cost of each 10,000 parts and processes. it was necessary to assemble model 3 together.
I bet that leasing and / or subscribing is the best way for Tesla to reduce the total monthly cost for new owners without lower margins, like some other options. This is also exactly 7 months, since Elon predicted that we would have leasing in 6-9 months. His reason for not offering it was cash flow (which was rather negative 6 months ago). Cash flow has now improved significantly, so this should no longer be a major issue.
So what is the answer to the question I put in the title of this article? Should I buy now or should I wait to see what Tesla will announce in 2019?
I can't tell you that, of course. To answer you must look inside yourself.
If you risk (i) and / or are not satisfied with the current choice (I think the current choice is good), waiting makes sense. I don’t know what leverage Tesla will pull, but I’m sure they will do something to sweeten the deal after the tax credit is lowered on January 1. I assume that Tesla will either offer leasing or find a way to reduce the price by several thousand dollars to 40,000 dollars.
On the other hand, if you value safety and hate surprises, and you are happy with the cars available now, there is no reason not to enter into big deals and get a larger tax credit!
You can use my Tesla referral link to get up to 9 months free premium (6 months if you tested driving a car with Tesla) on Model S, Model X or Model 3. Here's the code: https: // ts. l / paul92237